Poisson Distribution formula: P(x; ) = (e-) (x) / x! Just input the goal occurrences and team's scoring probability, and you all get the chances of each possible case.
Implied probabilities are calculated based on the odds of an event occurring. To calculate the implied probability, bettors have to simply divide 1 by the odds. For example, if a team has odds of 2.50, the implied probability would be 0.40 (1/2.50). This means that the team has a 40% chance of winning the game.